Hide Your Daughters, Empty Arena!

19%


81%

Game Projection	Pts
Washington St.	56.8
UCLA	68.0

Projected High-Scorer Josh Shipp (UCLA) 15.2 pts

AccuScore Live Betting Predictions

Point Spread	AccuScore Probability
Washington State +8.5	41.4%
UCLA -8.5	58.8%

Over / Under	AccuScore Probability
OVR 122	55.3%
UND 122	43.0%

Money Line					AccuScore Probability
Washington State +360					19.2%%
UCLA -410					80.9%%
Team	Win Percent	Average Score	Big Win	Close Win
Washington St.	19.2%	56.8	6.1%	7.7%
UCLA	80.9%	68	55.9%	10.3%

* Big Win: 10 or more pts; Close Win: 4 or less pts

Plus/Minus for our two previous games vs. the Bruins:

	+/-	minutes
Baynes	+29	60
Koprivica	+23	37
Forrest	+11	58
Lodwick	0	5
Thompson	-3	77
Rochestie	-5	78
Harmeling	-7	6
Casto	-11	32
Enquist	-11	3
Capers	-29	44

A lot was mentioned about Taylor's 33 points the last time we played UCLA, but a bigger story was that we were KILLING the Bruins with Baynes on the court and in turn, getting killed when he was on the bench. It's IMPERATIVE we get 35 minutes from Sloth to have any sort of chance tonight to keep moving on in this thing….

Hide your Daughters, cont'd

So I'm beginning to think that this afternoon might be one of those games that really tries a Coug's soul. For reference, see the 2008 Cougar football season....We have 4 games left....against the four best teams in the Pac-10. I'm trying to find a W in that mix. Kind of a sinking feeling to know we're going to finish 9th in both football and hoops.

Anyway, vs. the Trojans

Koprivica	22
Harthun	10
Capers	8
Lodwick	8
Forrest	2
Baynes	0
Casto	0
Rochestie	-10
Harmeling	-16
Thompson	-24

If we're looking at positives here, it's pretty impressive that we were able to keep it as close as we did when Thompson is having an off night. In the first half, Baynes missed a dunk and two 2-footers. He makes those and we're down 2 instead of 8 going into halftime and it's a completely different ballgame (one we had no business being in). Casto was night and day. In his first 6 quarters against Taj, DC looked lost and Taj was going to continue to do whatever he wanted. However, in that second half, D'Angelo still had some slipups on the defensive end of the floor (but some of those can be attributed to his teammates), he put together some fantastic post moves against one of the better interior defenders in the conference. Where the hell did those come from?

Looking ahead to our carnage at noon, here's how we looked the last time we played the Bruins:

	"+ / -"	minutes
Koprivica	+14	13
Forrest	+10	31
Baynes	+4	34
Lodwick	0	2
Thompson	-4	37
Rochestie	-6	38
Capers	-6	27
Casto	-16	15

We're probably not going to get another superhuman effort from Forrest, yet they're probably not going to get another superhuman effort from Drago either. Klay's gotta be huge this afternoon to keep this close, and Baynes has to take advantage of UCLA's lack of size early.

If I were Coach Sexy, I'd roll out a lineup with Taylor, Marcus and Nik on the wings and Caleb and Baynes down low. I'd have D'Angelo on a very short leash based on his defensive inadequacies against UCLA's ball rotation last time around.

Harmeling can stay on the bench again.

Back from Pullman

So after proving that both myself and Paul Wulff are indeed vampires and can't take a decent picture, I headed home, tail between my legs after watching what might have been the worst game since the dawn of competitive hoop.

Watching Casto get absolutely used by Dragovich and then Gibson in back to back games made me wonder if he had switched jerseys with Daven; as amazing as Caleb's shot was falling on Thursday, the catalyst for the comeback was Nik's defense and will forever be unappreciated, and I still continue to ask myself why Tony feels Abe Lodwick is ready for regular minutes.

I've been playing with a full-time job, grad school and a trip to Pullman, so I haven't posted the +/- for the past 3 games; all apologies, here we go:

@ Oregon

Capers +22
Rochestie +16
Thompson +16
Baynes +10
Casto +4
Koprivica -6
Forrest -10
Harmeling -14
Lodwick -20

vs. UCLA
Koprivica +14
Forrest +10
Baynes +4
Lodwick 0
Thompson -4
Rochestie -6
Capers -6
Casto -16

vs. USC
Capers +14
Baynes +8
Harmeling +6
Koprivica +2
Forrest -4
Lodwick -4
Rochestie -6
Thompson -6
Casto -12

Season Totals (per 40 mins)

Capers +21.9
Harmeling +9.5
Baynes -0.7
Casto -1.5
Koprivica -2.9
Rochestie -3.5
Forrest -4.2
Thompson -4.2
Lodwick -22.3

"Next on Wings....aw, who cares..." UCLA/Oregon State thoughts

More messages from Cash4Gold.com, TaxSlayer.com, and ShamWow on the FCS channels, which ended up being the most entertainng thing about this game.

I really don't know what to make out of UCLA at this point from this game alone, as I'm not sure Oregon State even had a gameplan. They run a 4-man bastardized version of the Princeton offense (we run a 3 man version of it for the most part) which relies on a lot of wing movement and slipping screens to get an open look at the hoop. Well, most of the time it ends up in a 2 man game where both those 2 man are grossly overmatched by their UCLA counterparts. I think some discipline and a full year in this offense, the Beavs might be ready to score 50 (!!!) a game... yeah, it doesn't look too promsing.

But where most people who run the Princeton offense make up for it in their defensive intensity, Robinson has them for the most part in various incarnations of the 1-3-1 zone. Most Pac teams will SHRED a 1-3-1. And since the Beavs aren't going to run with teams that will beat a 1-3-1, I have a lot of concerns of what their endgame is...

I wish I had more to say about UCLA. They looked impressive for the most part, but I'd like to see them against the Ducks before I make any definitive decisions about them. In non-con, Holiday looked ready to pick up where Westbrook left off, but Drew Gordon is not exactly the substitution I'd want for Kevin Love, Mbah-a M0ute AND the sexy Lorenzo Mata.