Saturday, February 14, 2009

Hide your Daughters, Corvallis

AccuScore Winning Percentage (Based on over 10,000 simulations)





21.5% 78.5%


Game Projection

Pts

Oregon St.

50.3

Washington St.

59.7

Projected High-Scorer

Aron Baynes (WAST) 14.4 pts

Point Spread

AccuScore Probability


Oregon State +12

58.3%

Washington State -12

38.7%


Over / Under

AccuScore Probability


OVR 106

63.1%

UND 106

35.2%


Money Line

AccuScore Probability


Oregon State +620

21.5%%

Washington State -800

78.5%%


Team

Win Percent

Average Score

Big Win

Close Win

Oregon St.

21.5%

50.3

5.4%

10.8%

Washington St.

78.5%

59.7

48.4%

13.4%

Everything for today points to our 6th consecutive victory over the Beavs, despite the Obama/Conan power OSU brings to the table. Beating OSU in overtime on the road, here was our most efficient lineup:


"+ / -"

minutes

Harmeling

+22

24

Forrest

+8

34

Capers

+6

20

Rochestie

+4

45

Baynes

+2

35




Obviously Capers isn’t going to play the SG, and Klay is unconscious as of late, hopefully he can handle the halfcourt trap better than the last time we played OS(U) (Klay finished with a -12, despite 5-10 shooting and 5 assists….4 turnovers didn’t help). With Baynes’ knee, 35 minutes may be too much to ask….Casto was pretty awful against the Beavs the first time around, but will the home crowd bring him back? Oregon State kept this thing close with second chance points, particularly in the first half, when Forrest and Witherill were trying to box out Deane and Tarver. Harmeling and Capers both were able to neutralize this last time, but will need everyone to do it against a team with a lot more confidence than the last time we played them.

Beat the halfcourt trap, knock down your shots over the zone and BOX THE HELL OUT; this game’s over by halftime.


1 comment:

The Captain said...

If only the game WAS over at halftime.

Yet another second half collapse. OSU raped us with a razor studded buttplug. Backdoor cuts galore.

Fantastic.